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Iran Strategy Brief No. 11: Iran's Complicated Post-JCPOA Nuclear Path
Policy Papers - August 20, 2018
 

In the aftermath of President Donald Trump’s May 8th decision to formally end America’s participation in the 2015 nuclear deal known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), there has been significant speculation about potential responses on the part of the Iranian leadership. Iranian officials have threatened a range of possible consequences stemming from the U.S. decision, up to and including a resumption of nuclear development and associated processes by their government...

 
Can Iran Wait Out Trump's Pressure Campaign?
Articles - August 8, 2018
 

U.S. foreign policy toward Iran is approaching a "back to the future" moment, with the Trump White House resurrecting the strategy pursued by President George W. Bush (and, for a while, President Barack Obama) of pressuring Iran economically into abandoning its nuclear pursuits.

 
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 2237
Bulletins - July 31, 2018
 

The race for submarine supremacy;
New decree relives WWII battles... and revives Soviet nostalgia

 
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 2236
Bulletins - July 26, 2018
 

NATO jitters over Russia's growing military capabilities;
A Russo-Ukrainian "water war"?

 
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 2233
Bulletins - July 16, 2018
 

Rethinking the Russian Criminal Code;
Russia's vanishing middle class

 
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 2232
Bulletins - July 12, 2018
 

Bill Browder: public enemy no. 1;
A controversial new nuclear project

 
Scrapping Iran Deal Provides A Trump Card With North Korea
Articles - May 16, 2018
 

The political left is aghast over President Donald Trump's decision last week to abrogate the Iran nuclear deal. Among proponents of the 2015 agreement with Iran's ayatollahs engineered by the Obama White House, Trump's pullout was condemned as ill-advised for a host of reasons, not least because it complicates America's planned negotiations with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. After all, these critics argue, why would Pyongyang trust a Washington that doesn't honor its international obligations?

 
The End Of The JCPOA Era
Articles - May 10, 2018
 

It's official: the Iran nuclear deal is dead.

On May 8th, in a nationally televised address, President Trump announced that his administration was withdrawing from the 2015 nuclear agreement with Iran, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). By doing so, the White House has effectively killed the signature foreign policy achievement of the Obama era.

 
America Needs A New Iran Deal
Articles - May 3, 2018
 

On Monday, Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu dramatically unveiled records detailing "Project Amad," Iran's "comprehensive program to design, build, and test nuclear weapons." The information was taken from 100,000 pages of documents Israel had secretly obtained in January from a warehouse in Tehran. The records do not deal with ongoing aspects of Iran's nuclear program - Project Amad was suspended in 2003 - but they do show that Tehran had been lying about the program's peaceful intent. They also reveal how far Iran has gotten in planning and development of nuclear weapons, and how quickly such a program could be reconstituted - assuming work is not already continuing under the weak verification regime of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).

 
North Korean Summit Calls For A Hard Line From Trump
Articles - April 25, 2018
 

With more freedom to maneuver on foreign than domestic affairs, and with their eyes focused squarely on their legacies, all modern U.S. presidents have sought to craft the elusive deal that will solve a protracted global conflict. So, with dismal prospects for Israeli-Palestinian peace, we shouldn't be surprised that President Trump is now pursuing a deal to end North Korea's nuclear program.