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This Is Trump's Opportunity To Uncover The Iran-North Korea Connection
Articles - June 8, 2018
 

Does the road to Tehran lead through Singapore? Hopes are high that next week's summit between President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un will begin a process leading to the total, verifiable and irreversible denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. But North Korea can also play a major role in the broader global effort against nuclear proliferation.

 
Defense Technology Monitor - No. 29
Bulletins - May 25, 2018
 

Increasingly, robots on the front lines;
DPRK threat triggers new missile defense focus on planes...;
...and drones;
Turkey's new underwater drone; Understanding EMP threats;
Weaponizing ink

 
Scrapping Iran Deal Provides A Trump Card With North Korea
Articles - May 16, 2018
 

The political left is aghast over President Donald Trump's decision last week to abrogate the Iran nuclear deal. Among proponents of the 2015 agreement with Iran's ayatollahs engineered by the Obama White House, Trump's pullout was condemned as ill-advised for a host of reasons, not least because it complicates America's planned negotiations with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. After all, these critics argue, why would Pyongyang trust a Washington that doesn't honor its international obligations?

 
Understanding North Korea's Cyber Strategy
Policy Papers - May 4, 2018
 
How does North Korea use cyber means to achieve its political and military objectives? Ever since the Korean War, North Korea’s stated foreign policy goal has been to reunify the Korean peninsula under its rule. However, by the 1980s, winning a conventional war on the peninsula had become unrealistic, and the military balance between the North and South had started to shift in favor of the latter. With the end of the Cold War, Russian and Chinese patronage diminished, while the U.S.-ROK alliance grew stronger. In this strategic context, how does North Korea ensure regime security, deter foreign aggression, and achieve this objective without explicitly taking it by force?...
 
North Korean Summit Calls For A Hard Line From Trump
Articles - April 25, 2018
 

With more freedom to maneuver on foreign than domestic affairs, and with their eyes focused squarely on their legacies, all modern U.S. presidents have sought to craft the elusive deal that will solve a protracted global conflict. So, with dismal prospects for Israeli-Palestinian peace, we shouldn't be surprised that President Trump is now pursuing a deal to end North Korea's nuclear program.

 
Democrats have good reason to confirm Mike Pompeo as secretary of State
Articles - April 19, 2018
 

Mike Pompeo should be promptly confirmed as secretary of State because he is well qualified, but also because this is an extraordinarily dangerous time for the United States to be without an effective secretary of State.

American diplomacy is tasked with advancing the interests of the United States while avoiding war. Any such success depends upon American diplomats credibly issuing threats, guarantees, and offers of help. This essential credibility, in turn, depends upon the relationship of America’s secretary of State with the president. And this is perhaps the most serious reason why Pompeo is an excellent choice to be our next secretary of State.

 
Defense Technology Monitor - No. 27
Bulletins - April 12, 2018
 

China takes the lead in railgun development;
Seeking more missile defense in the Pacific;
Needed: A rulebook for cyberwarfare;
Iran's drones get an upgrade;
Up next: Robotic submarine hunters

 
Electromagnetic Threats
Policy Papers - March 21, 2018
 
This work seeks to provide insights into the electromagnetic threats to U.S. security, particularly from a nuclear generated Electromagnetic Pulse attack, and public policy responses to them. The Primer provides a succinct and informative background of electromagnetic threats, U.S. protections and offensive capabilities of both the U.S. and our adversaries, it also discusses threats posed by EMP, and offers policy recommendations. 
 
What Iran Can Teach Us About North Korea Summit
Articles - March 12, 2018
 

You could call it the Iranian negotiating model.

After months of escalating tensions with the United States, North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un has offered to meet directly with President Trump, engendering cautious optimism from many who see this as a necessary first step to de-escalation in Asia. The White House has tentatively agreed to the meeting. And yet, without deft handling, this dialogue could allow one of the world's worst rogue states to reap enormous dividends as a result of its irresponsible conduct - much as happened with Iran in the not-so-distant past.

 
Defense Technology Monitor - No. 25
Bulletins - February 27, 2018
 

Back to airborne laser basing;
Can EMP help confront North Korea?
America's electric grid: Still vulnerable;
Navy jets get drone wingman;
Enhancing Russia soldiers...soon


 
North Korea Wins The Propaganda Gold
Articles - February 15, 2018
 

Whatever other awards North Korean athletes earn at the Winter Olympics now underway in Pyeongchang, South Korea, their country has made a championship level effort at manipulating the international press.

This week, the American media went on overload in praise of North Korean Minister of Propaganda and Agitation Kim Yo Jong, sister to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. The minister was praised for her poise, her smile, her fashion sense and her handwriting. The Washington Post compared her to Ivanka Trump, (which even the New York Times found a bit much). There hadn't been this kind of gushing over a dictator's handmaiden since Leni Reifenstahl was hailed as a genius for her Nazi propaganda film about the 1936 Munich Olympics. And North Korea's propaganda minister can return to her brother claiming a gold medal performance.

 
Trump Believes In U.S. Power
Articles - January 31, 2018
 

In the national security section of Tuesday's State of the Union speech, President Donald Trump had a single, unifying message: The administration will confront America's international challenges with a realistic appreciation for the importance of U.S. power and leadership.

 
Russia Reform Monitor - No 2181
Bulletins - January 9, 2018
 

Nationalist activism on the rise;
Is Russia really eyeing the exits in Syria?

 
Law Warriors Needed
Articles - December 19, 2017
 

"The first thing we do," proclaims one of the characters in "Henry VI," Shakespeare's famous play about palace intrigue, "let's kill all the lawyers."

Over the ages, the phrase has become ubiquitous - and synonymous with popular disdain for what is widely seen as an elitist, out-of-touch profession. Yet today, the expertise of legal professionals is desperately needed to help the U.S. navigate the emerging geopolitical discipline known as "lawfare."

 
US Would Be Wise To Prepare For EMP Attacks On Its Cities
Articles - November 29, 2017
 

Imagine that a hostile nation - say, North Korea - fires a nuclear-tipped missile at the United States. The missile detonates in the upper atmosphere above a major American city such as Los Angeles, releasing a cascade of charged electrons that damages and destroys all technology and electrical systems within line-of-sight of the explosion. Vital infrastructure on the country's Western seaboard is incapacitated. Large swathes of California and parts of Nevada lose power. Stores, social services and emergency functions that rely on electricity begin to break down, as disorder spreads and the death toll climbs.

 
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 2159
Bulletins - October 10, 2017
 

How Russia exploits the North Korean crisis;
A helping hand for Hamas

 
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 2158
Bulletins - October 9, 2017
 

Russia, Europe edge closer to political divorce;
Facebook wises up to Russian propaganda... finally

 
Kim Would Regret War
Articles - September 27, 2017
 

North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un seems bent on making it easier for the United States to go to war. If he draws first blood, it may be the last thing he ever does.

On Monday, North Korea's foreign minister Ri Yong Ho said that his country has "every right to make countermeasures, including the right to shoot down United States strategic bombers even when they are not inside the airspace border of our country." Pyongyang has reportedly moved interceptor aircraft closer to the flight path of U.S. bombers that have been patrolling North Korea's periphery. Ri said that attacking U.S. forces was legal since "it was the U.S. who first declared war on our country," apparently referring to statements from President Donald Trump.

 
Punish North Korea By Sanctioning China
Articles - September 19, 2017
 

If the definition of insanity is doing the same thing repeatedly and expecting different results, then the United Nations has gone 'round the bend.

On Monday, the U.N. Security Council unanimously passed Resolution 2375, which imposed fresh sanctions on North Korea in response to that country's September 3 nuclear test. President Trump, who had pushed for much starker sanctions, called the resolution "not a big deal."

 
All Eyes On Kim Jong Un
Articles - August 30, 2017
 

The old saying goes that it's not paranoia if they really are out to get you. So if you are North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un, taking extraordinary steps to ensure your personal security is not crazy, it's simply common sense.

 
Trump's Nuclear Credibility
Articles - August 18, 2017
 

When President Donald Trump threatened "fire and fury" in response to potential nuclear aggression from North Korea, the world held its collective breath. But a week later, the brewing calamity had abated, in large part due to the Trump administration's no-nonsense style of crisis management.

 
China Reform Monitor - No. 1284.
Bulletins - May 26, 2017
 

DRPK attacks Beijing in scathing editorial;
China eyes Third Pole National Park encompassing Tibet

 
Accepting The Unacceptable
Articles - September 14, 2016
 

The nuclear threat from North Korea continues to grow, despite numerous strong statements of concern from the United States. But Pyongyang knows that talk is cheap. The more powerful message from American inaction is: keep building. 

 
China Reform Monitor - No. 1241
Bulletins - September 6, 2016
 

China-DPRK trade gets boost after THAAD announcement;
Indonesia hardens line on South China Sea territories

 
China Reform Monitor - No. 1241
Bulletins - July 6, 2016
 

 

China-DPRK trade gets boost after THAAD announcement;
Indonesia hardens line on South China Sea territories

 

 

 
China Reform Monitor - No. 1241
Bulletins - July 6, 2016
 

 

China-DPRK trade gets boost after THAAD announcement;
Indonesia hardens line on South China Sea territories

 

 

 
Strategic Primer - Cybersecurity
Policy Papers - April 1, 2016
 

The goal of the new Strategic Primer initiative is to provide a concise, comprehensive overview of specific defense technology issues presented in a clear, direct, and graphical manner that serves as an accessible reference to policymakers. Volume 2 of the series focuses on Cybersecurity.

 
 
Iran's Perilous Nuclear Lesson for North Korea
Articles - January 13, 2016
 

North Korea made international news last week when it declared that it had successfully carried out an underground test of a hydrogen bomb. The announcement touched off fevered speculation in Washington about the nature of the test itself (among other things, the yield is believed to have been to small to have been a thermonuclear device), as well as its larger geopolitical significance.

 
Missile Defense Briefing Report - No. 342
Bulletins - December 31, 2015
 

Israel readies air based defense for export...;
...and adds new capabilities;
Harnessing left of launch;
Russia adds to Arctic arsenal

 
Missile Defense Briefing Report - No. 338
Bulletins - August 5, 2015
 

Iranian air defense improvements?;
Russia expands electronic warfare capability;
Defending Israeli airliners;
Russia incorporates blimp-based missile defense radar;
Turkey's indigenous defenses mature;
North Korea improves missiile launch capabilities

 
If North Korea Got The Bomb, Iran Will Too
Articles - July 7, 2015
 

If North Korea could develop and test a nuclear weapon, even under a stringent arms control regime, why can't Iran also build a bomb under a far less ample nuclear deal? 

 
Missile Defense Briefing Report - No. 335
Bulletins - April 1, 2015
 

New Indo-Israeli missile defense cooperation;
North Korea's missile progress unnerves U.S.;
Iran plays defense...;
...and offense;
Seoul examines its options;
In Poland, missile defense as a check on Russian agressions

 
American Deterrence and Future Conflicts
Policy Papers - December 22, 2014
 

On the centennial of the start of World War I—a war that began largely as a result of crisis miscalculations

and escalations—we are entering a new era with important implications for deterrence, escalation control, and coalition management. Today, like at the time of World War I, we confront a large number of actors who have the potential to misread cues and red lines while relying on treaty relationships if they miscalculate. Then, as now, military technologies were widely diffused. Prevailing assumptions about how an adversary (or potential adversary) would react in a crisis or confrontation were based on imperfect intelligence and inadequate understanding of red lines...
 
Security and Defense Dimensions of the Asia Pivot
Policy Papers - May 14, 2014
 

There is no question that the United States faces significant and increasing security challenges in the Asia-Pacific region, including the growing threat posed by ballistic missiles and their payloads. It is fair to argue that China is increasingly confident and assertive in addressing its perceived national interests, supported by its expanding military might and power projection capabilities. From appearances, it is also reasonable to assert that North Korea is not on a path to openness, reform, and reconciliation with its neighbors. As such, it is critical that the United States provide for its national defense in the Pacific...

 
Defense of the U.S. Homeland Against Ballistic Missile Attack
Policy Papers - November 15, 2013
 

Today, the Obama administration and Congress have a variety of options before them for strengthening the defense of the U.S. homeland against ballistic missile attack. The word “options,” however, should not be interpreted as an either/or choice. Official Washington should not—indeed, cannot choose between defending the homeland against ballistic missile attack and erecting regional capabilities against the threat. Rather, it is necessary to treat the variety of programs available for this purpose not as options, but as components of a global plan for development and fielding: essentially, an “all of the above” approach. Only in this way can America achieve the proper balance between missile defense capabilities for the protection of the United States and the protection of our friends and allies and forces in various regions around the world...

 
Trouble on the Chinese Seas
Articles - June 19, 2013
 

Media coverage of the June 7-8 "shirt sleeves" summit between President Obama and new Chinese president Xi Jinping in Rancho Mirage, California has largely focused on the two issues that dominated the official agenda. The first was China's extensive intellectual property theft and hacking activities in cyberspace. The second was the threat posed by the regime of reckless "young leader" Kim Jong Un in North Korea.

 
Why China Lets North Korea Run Wild
Articles - May 7, 2013
 

Although most observers tend to treat them as separate phenomena, there is an intimate connection between North Korea's recent nuclear and long-range missile tests and China's growing push to control the vast oil and gas resources in the South China Sea and the associated sea lanes through which trillions of dollars in commerce travel.

 
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 318
Bulletins - April 29, 2013
 

Pak defense budget soars;
Pakistan's former military ruler arrested;
India vows to protect border amid alleged Chinese incursion

 
With North Korea's Nuclear Test, U.S. Must Prepare For The Worst
Articles - February 13, 2013
 

When the South Korean government collected and analyzed the debris from North Korea's mid-December launch of a rocket into space, it made two new—and disturbing—discoveries. The first was that, while the rocket technology used by Pyongyang was partly Chinese in origin, it appeared to have been largely "home grown." The second was that the range of the rocket fired by the North was greater than originally believed, and perhaps as much as 6,000 miles in distance.

 
Why North Korea's Missile Launch Matters
Articles - December 21, 2012
 

North Korea's successful use last week of a long-range rocket to launch a satellite into orbit has catapulted the Asian rogue state back into the international spotlight. It also has brought back the global danger posed by the Democratic People's Republic of Korea into sharp focus.

 
The Dangers Obama Faces At Home And Abroad
Articles - November 13, 2012
 

Foreign policy seemed to go on hiatus during the U.S. presidential election. Economic issues dominated the race, and Americans waited to see which candidate's vision would prevail. But the world kept turning, and in President Barack Obama's second term he will face a number of legacy issues from his previous four years and several emerging strategic challenges.

 
Why UN Reform Can't Wait
Articles - July 11, 2012
 

It's no secret that the United Nations hasn't lived up to its billing as a champion of human rights and democratic values since its establishment in 1945. All too often, the UN system has aided and abetted some of the world's most odious regimes—and served as a political weapon for those countries against the West. Yet even by these standards, this summer has seen an unprecedented level of rot in the world's most powerful international forum.

 
China Reform Monitor - No. 978
Bulletins - July 10, 2012
 

Washington grants China a waiver from Iran sanctions;
China Defense Minister opposes DPRK provocations

 
Suu Kyi's Timely Reminder
Articles - June 20, 2012
 

Delivering her Nobel Lecture after a 21-year delay, Burma’s Aung San Suu Kyi offered a timely reminder from the front lines of struggle.

“To be forgotten,” she said in her October 16th address in Oslo, “… is to die a little. It is to lose some of the links that anchor us to the rest of humanity. When I met Burmese migrant workers and refugees during my recent visit to Thailand, many cried out, ‘Don’t forget us!’ They meant: ‘Don’t forget our plight, don’t forget to do what you can to help us, don’t forget we also belong to your world.’

 
Cyber Urgency Needed: Complacency Leaves U.S. Vulnerable
Articles - June 18, 2012
 

How real is the potential for cyberwar? The growing attention being given to cyberspace by policymakers and the media alike reflects an inescapable reality. With government agencies and private companies under frequent attack in cyberspace, and with incidents of cyber espionage increasing in both intensity and frequency, it would be fair to say that the U.S. is already engaged in battle in cyberspace.

 
China Reform Monitor - No. 971
Bulletins - June 14, 2012
 

China cracks down on illegal immigrants;
North Korea captures 28 Chinese fishermen

 
China Reform Monitor - No. 969
Bulletins - May 30, 2012
 

Jockeying to replace Bo Xilai as Chongqing party chief; 

Highlight on North Korean sex slaves in China
 
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1779
Bulletins - May 17, 2012
 

Kremlin targets social vices with new taxes;

USTR takes aim at Russian intellectual property threat
 
Missile Defense Briefing Report - No. 297
Bulletins - April 30, 2012
 

A step backward for North Korea; Potential Asian missile shield irks China...; ...As Seoul flirts with participation; Russian missiles in Kaliningrad?

 
Missile Defense Briefing Report - No. 296
Bulletins - April 12, 2012
 

A domestic consensus in favor of missile defense; Another ICBM for North Korea?; Gulf states seek regional missile shield...; ...as Iran readies its response