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Iran's Perilous Nuclear Lesson for North Korea
Articles - January 13, 2016
 

North Korea made international news last week when it declared that it had successfully carried out an underground test of a hydrogen bomb. The announcement touched off fevered speculation in Washington about the nature of the test itself (among other things, the yield is believed to have been to small to have been a thermonuclear device), as well as its larger geopolitical significance.

 
Missile Defense Briefing Report - No. 342
Bulletins - December 31, 2015
 

Israel readies air based defense for export...;
...and adds new capabilities;
Harnessing left of launch;
Russia adds to Arctic arsenal

 
Missile Defense Briefing Report - No. 338
Bulletins - August 5, 2015
 

Iranian air defense improvements?;
Russia expands electronic warfare capability;
Defending Israeli airliners;
Russia incorporates blimp-based missile defense radar;
Turkey's indigenous defenses mature;
North Korea improves missiile launch capabilities

 
If North Korea Got The Bomb, Iran Will Too
Articles - July 7, 2015
 

If North Korea could develop and test a nuclear weapon, even under a stringent arms control regime, why can't Iran also build a bomb under a far less ample nuclear deal? 

 
Missile Defense Briefing Report - No. 335
Bulletins - April 1, 2015
 

New Indo-Israeli missile defense cooperation;
North Korea's missile progress unnerves U.S.;
Iran plays defense...;
...and offense;
Seoul examines its options;
In Poland, missile defense as a check on Russian agressions

 
American Deterrence and Future Conflicts
Policy Papers - December 22, 2014
 

On the centennial of the start of World War I—a war that began largely as a result of crisis miscalculations

and escalations—we are entering a new era with important implications for deterrence, escalation control, and coalition management. Today, like at the time of World War I, we confront a large number of actors who have the potential to misread cues and red lines while relying on treaty relationships if they miscalculate. Then, as now, military technologies were widely diffused. Prevailing assumptions about how an adversary (or potential adversary) would react in a crisis or confrontation were based on imperfect intelligence and inadequate understanding of red lines...
 
Security and Defense Dimensions of the Asia Pivot
Policy Papers - May 14, 2014
 

There is no question that the United States faces significant and increasing security challenges in the Asia-Pacific region, including the growing threat posed by ballistic missiles and their payloads. It is fair to argue that China is increasingly confident and assertive in addressing its perceived national interests, supported by its expanding military might and power projection capabilities. From appearances, it is also reasonable to assert that North Korea is not on a path to openness, reform, and reconciliation with its neighbors. As such, it is critical that the United States provide for its national defense in the Pacific...

 
Defense of the U.S. Homeland Against Ballistic Missile Attack
Policy Papers - November 15, 2013
 

Today, the Obama administration and Congress have a variety of options before them for strengthening the defense of the U.S. homeland against ballistic missile attack. The word “options,” however, should not be interpreted as an either/or choice. Official Washington should not—indeed, cannot choose between defending the homeland against ballistic missile attack and erecting regional capabilities against the threat. Rather, it is necessary to treat the variety of programs available for this purpose not as options, but as components of a global plan for development and fielding: essentially, an “all of the above” approach. Only in this way can America achieve the proper balance between missile defense capabilities for the protection of the United States and the protection of our friends and allies and forces in various regions around the world...

 
Trouble on the Chinese Seas
Articles - June 19, 2013
 

Media coverage of the June 7-8 "shirt sleeves" summit between President Obama and new Chinese president Xi Jinping in Rancho Mirage, California has largely focused on the two issues that dominated the official agenda. The first was China's extensive intellectual property theft and hacking activities in cyberspace. The second was the threat posed by the regime of reckless "young leader" Kim Jong Un in North Korea.

 
Why China Lets North Korea Run Wild
Articles - May 7, 2013
 

Although most observers tend to treat them as separate phenomena, there is an intimate connection between North Korea's recent nuclear and long-range missile tests and China's growing push to control the vast oil and gas resources in the South China Sea and the associated sea lanes through which trillions of dollars in commerce travel.