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Articles Books In-House Bulletins Monographs Policy Papers |
| The Not-So-Definitive Syrian Red Line |
| Articles - May 21, 2013 |
In January 1950, Secretary of State Dean Acheson gave a speech on U.S. East Asia policy at the National Press Club in Washington, D.C. Acheson spoke about the American "defensive perimeter" on the far Pacific Rim, from the Aleutians to the Philippines. Unfortunately, he left South Korea outside of his red line. |
| Turkey To America: Step Up In Syria |
| Articles - May 15, 2013 |
This week, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan arrives in Washington for a much publicized state visit. The Turkish leader won't simply be making a courtesy call, however. His U.S. mission is largely aimed at achieving one purpose: goading the Obama administration into taking greater action on Syria. |
| Obama’s Dim Prospects For Reviving The Russian ‘Reset’ |
| Articles - April 30, 2013 |
President Obama and his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, recently set a September date for bilateral discussions. The goal is to mend ties between the U.S. and Russia, badly frayed by the recent passage of tit–for–tat human rights sanctions, and attempt to put the administration's "reset" of relations with the Kremlin back on track. The White House has already suggested disarmament, Iran, North Korea and Syria as the main topics for the talks. |
| Western Military Intervention Is the Answer |
| Articles - April 29, 2013 |
The civil war in Syria is over two years old with no end in sight. As matters stand, the future holds either continued bloody stalemate or a successor regime dominated by anti-Western radicals. The time has come to force a more favorable decision. |
| Stakes Too High To Ignore Democracy's Retreat |
| Articles - April 18, 2013 |
Western thinking about freedom and democracy is marked by a set of optimistic assertions, which include the following: |
| The Dangers Of Neglecting Central Asia |
| Articles - April 16, 2013 |
Secretary of State John Kerry made news recently by referring to the venue of the latest nuclear talks with Iran as the fictional country of "Kyrzakhstan." That off-the-cuff comment was a telling indicator of the general lack of concern for Central Asia that prevails in official Washington. |
| The Cyprus-Crisis Culture Clash |
| Articles - April 8, 2013 |
On the surface, the Cyprus crisis was about money, but actually it was the result of conflicting political cultures: European, Greek Cypriot and Russian. The fissures exposed during the March 2013 crisis will leave a legacy of mistrust and enmity far beyond the eastern Mediterranean island that staged the drama. The underlying problem was that Europe had accepted a non-European entity (Cyprus) into its institutions and then failed to enforce upon it Europe’s standards of financial governance. Russian money became fuel for the catastrophe, but was not itself the cause. Money laundering and bank insolvency are both deplorable but are not the same thing. |
| Eurasia Security Watch - No. 279 |
| Bulletins - February 26, 2013 |
| U.S. Universities Must Invest in China Studies |
| Articles - February 19, 2013 |
On December 14, Richard Baum, distinguished professor of political science at UCLA, renowned expert on Chinese politics, and adviser to presidents, died in Los Angeles. He was among the foremost in an unparalleled generation of Sinologists that was trained during the Mao Era and went on to inform countless Americans about China and its strategic intentions. Ironically, however, even as his contribution to the study of Chinese politics is eulogized around the world, the emphasis on area studies at the American universities that created Professor Baum and his cohort has withered. Today, many of America's best young Sinologists are forgoing academia and instead choosing more lucrative careers in government or the private sector—working for select audiences on specific topics. |
| Cutting The Iran-China Connection |
| Articles - February 14, 2013 |
Just what will it take to bring Iran’s nuclear ambitions to heel? The past year has seen a dramatic expansion of economic pressure against the Iranian regime by the United States and Europe, all with a single-minded purpose: to ratchet up the costs to Iran of its stubborn atomic endeavor. |
| SYMPOSIUM: The New Cold War? |
| Articles - December 28, 2012 |
In late October, speaking at the Intrepid Museum in New York, U.S. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta delivered a stark warning. The United States, Panetta said, could soon face a mass disruption event of catastrophic proportions, a "cyber Pearl Harbor" of sorts. |
| Anatomy Of A Power Struggle |
| Articles - December 19, 2012 |
| Is John Kerry Obama's Best Choice for Secretary of State? |
| Articles - December 18, 2012 |
The Obama White House is notoriously insular, a quality reflected in its selection process for secretary of state. So far as the country knows, the only two persons that have been seriously considered to be foreign minister of the most important country on earth are Washington insiders who actively campaigned for the job. The qualities desirable—even necessary—to serve the United States well at State have scarcely been mentioned in the controversy over U.N. Ambassador Susan Rice or in the expectation that Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry will be the next secretary. |
| Banking Without Borders |
| Articles - December 14, 2012 |
Money laundering and terrorism financing are global problems that transcend national boundaries, and launderers and terrorists are constantly adapting their techniques to exploit vulnerabilities in the financial system to disguise the movement of funds. |
| Empowering Arab Women |
| Articles - November 15, 2012 |
“I am with the Uprising of Women in the Arab World,” says a sign that Marwa (from Tunisia) holds in front of her, “because women’s sexuality is considered as a [sic] Taboo, while Sexism, Pedophilia, and Rape are seen as commonsense.” |
| Blacklist The United Arab Emirates |
| Articles - November 6, 2012 |
The security of many countries is being endangered by the United Arab Emirates, a confederation of seven small states located in the Arabian Peninsula. Usually considered a Western ally, this false friend also serves as a regional financial hub for mob figures, arms dealers, drug traffickers, jihadis, and rogue regimes. The White House and the Financial Action Task Force—set up by the G7 to combat money laundering and terrorism financing—have so far failed to take action to stop this emerging threat. |
| Stop Nuzzling New Autocrats In Turkey And Egypt; Start Pushing Freedom And Democracy |
| Articles - November 1, 2012 |
The next president must discard two longstanding but problematic pillars of U.S. policy in the Middle East and chart a new course that reflects both regional realities and the dynamic changes that are underway there. |
| The Problem of Pakistan |
| Articles - October 4, 2012 |
The troubling travails of Rimsha Masih, a Christian teenager who lives near Islamabad and is facing blasphemy charges for allegedly burning pages of the Koran to cook, reflects the growing intolerance toward religious minorities that amounts to what one expert calls a “gradual genocide” in Pakistan. |
| AFPC CHINA BRIEF: China's Central Party School: A Primer |
| Books - August 2012 |
The Central Party School of the Communist Party of China’s Central Committee (CCPS), established in 1933 in Ruijin, Jiangxi and now located in Beijing’s western suburbs, is the most important institution in China’s midcareer official training system. It is China’s premier facility and educational institution for the training of medium and high-ranking Communist Party of China (CPC) cadre from across the country including ministers, provincial Party chiefs and governors. Between 1977 and 2010, over 60,000 officials (including some who are not CPC members) were trained at the CCPS. The CCPS assists cadre from across the country and different ministries and Party organizations to form new and closer relationships, take time from their busy schedules to learn from past experiences, and functions as a policy think-tank and a theoretical research institute for the Politburo Standing Committee, the CPC’s highest policymaking body. Top CPC leaders have always served as CCPS presidents, including Mao Zedong, Liu Shaoqi, Hua Guofeng, Hu Jintao, Zeng Qinghong and now Xi Jinping. |
| Another Surrender in the War of Ideas |
| Articles - August 13, 2012 |
It is the most important country in the Muslim world. Its economy is already the 16th-largest on the planet, and—in marked contrast to those of its sluggish neighbors in Europe—continues to grow by leaps and bounds. And its prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, was recently ranked the most popular politician in the entire Middle East. |
| Of horses and narco-kingdoms |
| Articles - August 10, 2012 |
Following a 2-year investigation, U.S. prosecutors have submitted a mindboggling 30,000 pages of documentation and 2,000 recorded phone calls that paint an extensive picture of how one of Mexico's most powerful drug-trafficking organizations raises, moves and eventually washes its illicit funds. |
| China Reform Monitor - No. 982 |
| Bulletins - August 8, 2012 |
Media curbs ahead of Party Congress; Japanese jitters over growing PLA power |
| Eurasia Security Watch - No. 265 |
| Bulletins - August 1, 2012 |
Israel weighs possible attack on Syria's chemical arsenal; U.S. hopes for new military base in Tajikistan...; ...while Russia simply hopes to remain; A way out for Assad; Sectarian violence surges in Iraq |
| US Should Forcefully Encourage Free Elections In Georgia |
| Articles - July 26, 2012 |
Freedom and democracy don't come easily to a land that's known precious little of it over time. Often, a nation overthrows an authoritarian government and replaces it with a democratically elected one, only to see the new government subvert the rule of law and impose a new authoritarianism. |
| The Threat to Greek Democracy |
| Articles - July 23, 2012 |
Everyone knows Europe faces the potential for Greek financial collapse, with serious ramifications for the euro zone and its financial institutions. Less discussed is the Greek impact on another key European institution, the less restrictive border regime instituted under the Schengen Treaty, and the danger of failure of constitutional democracy in an EU member state. |
| The U.S. Must Side With Pro-Democracy Activists |
| Articles - July 14, 2012 |
Recent developments in Egypt, Syria, and elsewhere have convinced skeptics that U.S. human rights promotion in the Middle East causes more harm than good by inciting instability — positioning the Muslim Brotherhood and other anti-Western forces to win elections or otherwise seize power. |
| Eurasia Security Watch - No. 263 |
| Bulletins - July 13, 2012 |
King Abdullah takes another stab at reform; Egyptian power struggle intensifies; Free Syrian army requests international intervention; The Palestinian Authority's (ongoing) financial crisis |
| Misreading Iran at our peril |
| Articles - July 13, 2012 |
When it comes to the financial markets, it is a rule of thumb that past success is a poor indicator of future performance. Sadly, it turns out, that's also the case with political science. Take the latest offering from one of the field's best and brightest. Kenneth N. Waltz, a decorated professor at Columbia University and the University of California at Berkeley, is dean of the "neorealism" school in international relations theory -- a deep thinker whose 1965 book "Man, the State, and War" revolutionized our understanding of how nation-states behave. |
| Why UN Reform Can't Wait |
| Articles - July 11, 2012 |
It's no secret that the United Nations hasn't lived up to its billing as a champion of human rights and democratic values since its establishment in 1945. All too often, the UN system has aided and abetted some of the world's most odious regimes—and served as a political weapon for those countries against the West. Yet even by these standards, this summer has seen an unprecedented level of rot in the world's most powerful international forum. |
| China Reform Monitor - No. 977 |
| Bulletins - July 6, 2012 |
No U.S. invitation to China for world's largest naval exercise; |
| Reading Pakistan, By The Numbers |
| Articles - July 6, 2012 |
Is Pakistan an enemy of the United States? For the past two years, the Obama administration has doggedly maintained that the South Asian nation remains a vital American ally, even as it has grappled with what it itself admits is a "complicated" relationship. |
| Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 121 |
| Bulletins - July 3, 2012 |
The logic behind the IRGC's expanding empire; Iran struggles with addiction; Iran bolsters naval capabilities...; ...As regional neighbors scramble to adapt; Iran's latest ploy to skirt sanctions |
| China Reform Monitor - No. 975 |
| Bulletins - June 29, 2012 |
Signs point to easing of "one-child" policy; China launches National Human Rights Action Plan |
| Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1787 |
| Bulletins - June 29, 2012 |
Rights council resigns en masse; |
| Eurasia Security Watch - No. 261 |
| Bulletins - June 27, 2012 |
The failed UN Syria mission; The house of Saud names a new crown prince; Palestinian anti-corruption court: a step forward or a political ploy?; Is the Assad regime beginning to crack? |
| The Vatican Bank: The Most Secret Bank In The World |
| Articles - June 27, 2012 |
Italian prosecutors have now detained the former head of the Vatican’s bank after searching his home and former office for suspected criminal behavior. Catholics and followers of the Holy See will be disappointed to learn that the Vatican’s bank appears to be embroiled in yet another financial scandal. |
| Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1786 |
| Bulletins - June 26, 2012 |
Opposition parties unite to survive; |
| The Muslim Brotherhood’s Egyptian sweep |
| Articles - June 26, 2012 |
For all their ideological fervor, revolutions in practice tend to be fairly predictable affairs. More often than not, when the initial groundswell of popular discontent recedes, the best-organized and most ideologically cohesive political factions assume power and proceed to run the show according to their own preferences. |
| China Reform Monitor - No. 974 |
| Bulletins - June 25, 2012 |
Taiwan opposition seeks new leader; |
| China Reform Monitor - No. 973 |
| Bulletins - June 22, 2012 |
China to add Marine Surveillance ships amidst maritime disputes; |
| Eurasia Security Watch - No. 260 |
| Bulletins - June 22, 2012 |
Abbas' new ally; China's growing ties with Uzbekistan and other central Asian nations; Israel excluded from U.S. counterterrorism forum; The dissolution of Egypt's lower house; Erdogan: a modern-day sultan? |
| Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1785 |
| Bulletins - June 21, 2012 |
Ahead of nuclear parlay, Putin and Ahmadinejad find common cause; |
| Asian Money Launderers Sent Region-Wide Warning |
| Articles - June 21, 2012 |
Law enforcement officials in China, Taiwan, Myanmar, Thailand and the Philippines have launched a blitzkrieg targeting money launderers who have been swindling and blackmailing average citizens throughout Asia to the tune of millions of dollars. |
| Suu Kyi's Timely Reminder |
| Articles - June 20, 2012 |
Delivering her Nobel Lecture after a 21-year delay, Burma’s Aung San Suu Kyi offered a timely reminder from the front lines of struggle. “To be forgotten,” she said in her October 16th address in Oslo, “… is to die a little. It is to lose some of the links that anchor us to the rest of humanity. When I met Burmese migrant workers and refugees during my recent visit to Thailand, many cried out, ‘Don’t forget us!’ They meant: ‘Don’t forget our plight, don’t forget to do what you can to help us, don’t forget we also belong to your world.’ |
| Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 120 |
| Bulletins - June 19, 2012 |
Rezaee Rising?; The IRGC takes aim at churches; Iran builds new regional energy bonds; Iranian opposition condemns regime support for Syria; Cost of food staples surges |
| China Reform Monitor - No. 972 |
| Bulletins - June 18, 2012 |
Taiwan opposition selects new leader; Russia and China celebrate relations "at an all time high" |
| The Kremlin's Iran Problem |
| Articles - June 18, 2012 |
On Monday and Tuesday, all eyes will be on Russia as it hosts the third round in the troubled international negotiations now under way between Iran and the West over the former's nuclear program. |
| The Legacy of Bernard Lewis |
| Articles - June 17, 2012 |
Bernard Lewis’ new book, Notes on a Century: Reflections of a Middle East Historian, written at the age of 95, is essentially his autobiography. Since he is, above all, a scholar, much of his life has been thinking and writing. Not surprisingly, the book recounts the gestational process of a number of his major works. Lewis is the author of more than 30 books. This leads him to wonder, in 100 years, which of his works will be remembered? I venture to say that it will not be this one, nor does he mean it to be. This is a breezy, episodic, conversational book of reflections, aperçus, anecdotes, and some very sharp observations. It is what is called a “good read.” It is not particularly profound or deep. It only glancingly refers to ideas that Lewis has developed at greater length in his earlier works. He refers to them rather than repeating them, and places their development in the context of his long life. |
| Egypt Moves Closer To Military Rule, Civil War, Or Both |
| Articles - June 15, 2012 |
In the sixteen months since the ouster of its long-serving strongman, Hosni Mubarak, one question has stood at the heart of the turbulent political debate taking place in Egypt: who will ultimately end up in charge? |
| Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1784 |
| Bulletins - June 14, 2012 |
Russian Orthodox Church backs the Syrian status quo;
The Duma take a stand against new assembly law - albeit briefly |
