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Can Iran Wait Out Trump's Pressure Campaign?
Articles - August 8, 2018
 

U.S. foreign policy toward Iran is approaching a "back to the future" moment, with the Trump White House resurrecting the strategy pursued by President George W. Bush (and, for a while, President Barack Obama) of pressuring Iran economically into abandoning its nuclear pursuits.

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 188
Bulletins - July 31, 2018
 

Iran's unfolding currency crisis...;
...leaves Rouhani scrambling to stabilize the national economy;
Crisis and opportunity for Iran's "reformist" camp;
A mandate to stay in Syria;
Toward an "Arab NATO"

 
Fight Against Terror Entering A New Phase, Still Just As Vital
Articles - July 26, 2018
 

The war on terror now ranks as America's longest-running war. Yet, increasingly, the fight against terrorism has receded from the headlines, supplanted by acrimonious domestic politics and flashpoints like North Korea's nuclear program and trade disputes with China. Yet the war on terror still rages on — and the battlefield in that fight is changing significantly.

 
Global Islamism Monitor - No. 53
Bulletins - July 18, 2018
 

Who's in charge in Syria?;
Kyrgyzstan's jihadis;
The Taliban-ISIS war heats up;
Five year on, a brighter Egyptian security picture

 
The Economic Roots Of Iran's Unrest
Articles - July 6, 2018
 

The fresh outbreaks of street protests in Tehran that have taken place in recent days raise the question of whether this will be just a temporary disturbance or a sign of more significant changes to come.

Last Monday, police in Tehran attacked protesters in front of Iran's parliament, and clashes were reported in other cities. These were reportedly the largest street protests since the ones in 2009 and 2012, and follow similar disturbances in late December and early January.

 
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 2227
Bulletins - July 2, 2018
 

Moscow's balancing act in Syria;
A reshuffle in Russia's regions

 
Optimizing America's Outreach Toward Iran
Articles - June 28, 2018
 

America's Iran policy is at a crossroads. In the wake of President Trump's recent decision to abandon the 2015 nuclear deal, his administration has unveiled a new, more muscular approach toward the Islamic Republic. That plan, announced publicly by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on May 21, has garnered extensive scrutiny for its pledge to reimpose economic sanctions on the Islamic Republic for its nuclear and ballistic missile work, and its vow to roll back Iran's extensive influence in Syria.

 
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 2225
Bulletins - June 19, 2018
 

The perennial president;
Britain: a safe haven for Russian "dirty money"

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 187
Bulletins - June 11, 2018
 

Still more environmental woes...;
...prompt a predictable regime response;
Iran and Hezbollah as a hedge;
Iran's Baha'i under fire;
An Iranian hand in Palestinian turmoil;
Losing Iraq

 
When It Comes To Iran, America Is Still Running The Show
Articles - June 6, 2018
 

When President Trump announced last month that America would leave the global nuclear deal with Iran and reimpose U.S. sanctions, Europe's leaders vowed to create financial mechanisms that would enable their firms to do business with Tehran and protect them from U.S. financial retaliation.

 
Global Islamism Monitor - No. 52
Bulletins - May 31, 2018
 

Counterterrorism and the digital dilemma;
Cairo's new counterterrorism structure;
How al-shabaab indoctrinates;

 
New Report: Iran's Influence In Syria Far Broader Than Commonly Understood
Articles - May 31, 2018
 

Just how deep does Iran's influence run in Syria? After a half decade of overt and covert Iranian military assistance to the regime of Bashar al-Assad, the Iranian regime is widely understood to be playing a key role in the Syrian theater. But, according to a new study from the Omran Center for Strategic Studies, an Istanbul-based think tank focused on the Syrian conflict, this backing is far broader than commonly understood, and encompasses not just military assistance but also an extensive web of economic and political contacts that are designed to give the Iranian regime a lasting presence on the territory of its top regional ally.

 
New Report: Iran
Articles - May 31, 2018
 

Global outrage over last month’s peak to the so-called Great March of Return on the Gaza-Israel border was instant and understandable. Over 50 people died and hundreds more were injured on a single day. What happened was as viscerally unpleasant as civil strife gets. It was brutal.

 
The Islamic State Attacks Indonesia - And Its 'Middle Way'
Articles - May 30, 2018
 

Earlier this month, after experiencing a long hiatus from violent extremism, Indonesia succumbed anew to Islamist terrorism when a family of suicide bombers struck three different churches in the country's second-largest city, Surabaya. The coordinated attacks during Sunday services on May 13 killed at least 12. The following day, another family of extremists attacked Surabaya's police headquarters, wounding 10. The Islamic State immediately claimed responsibility for both attacks.

 
Global Islamism Monitor - No. 51
Bulletins - May 23, 2018
 

Pakistan's "University of Jihad";
Egypt attempts a new strategy in the Sinai;
Saudi Arabia seizes the moment against the MB...;
...and makes a move toward religious pluralism



 
Scrapping Iran Deal Provides A Trump Card With North Korea
Articles - May 16, 2018
 

The political left is aghast over President Donald Trump's decision last week to abrogate the Iran nuclear deal. Among proponents of the 2015 agreement with Iran's ayatollahs engineered by the Obama White House, Trump's pullout was condemned as ill-advised for a host of reasons, not least because it complicates America's planned negotiations with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. After all, these critics argue, why would Pyongyang trust a Washington that doesn't honor its international obligations?

 
The End Of The JCPOA Era
Articles - May 10, 2018
 

It's official: the Iran nuclear deal is dead.

On May 8th, in a nationally televised address, President Trump announced that his administration was withdrawing from the 2015 nuclear agreement with Iran, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). By doing so, the White House has effectively killed the signature foreign policy achievement of the Obama era.

 
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 185
Bulletins - May 9, 2018
 

U.S. policy: Back to sanctions...;
...and plans for a broader strategy;
Meanwhile in Iran, official anger...;
...and grassroots ferment

 
America Needs A New Iran Deal
Articles - May 3, 2018
 

On Monday, Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu dramatically unveiled records detailing "Project Amad," Iran's "comprehensive program to design, build, and test nuclear weapons." The information was taken from 100,000 pages of documents Israel had secretly obtained in January from a warehouse in Tehran. The records do not deal with ongoing aspects of Iran's nuclear program - Project Amad was suspended in 2003 - but they do show that Tehran had been lying about the program's peaceful intent. They also reveal how far Iran has gotten in planning and development of nuclear weapons, and how quickly such a program could be reconstituted - assuming work is not already continuing under the weak verification regime of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).

 
The Iran Deal Is Dead. Now What?
Articles - April 24, 2018
 

These days, it's increasingly clear that the Iran nuclear deal is on life support.

For much of the past year, opinion within the Trump administration has been more or less evenly divided between those who support preserving the 2015 agreement (formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA) with some modifications, and those - including the president himself - who advocate its outright annulment. But no longer. Recent staffing changes at the upper echelons of the administration have swung the pendulum decisively in favor of Donald Trump "nixing" the agreement at the earliest possible opportunity.